The Backtest That Lied to You
AI can find a perfect strategy in historical data in minutes. That is exactly the problem. A look at overfitting and how to test honestly.
2 min read
Your Backtest Is Lying to You, and Your AI Agent Believes It
An AI trading agent can search a million variations of a strategy in an afternoon. That is exactly the problem. When the search is cheap, the beautiful equity curve stops being evidence and starts being an accident you paid for.
9 min read
The Overfitting Trap: Why Your AI Strategy Wins on Paper and Bleeds Live
An AI trading model that nails the backtest can still lose money the moment it meets a real market. The gap is usually overfitting — and there are ways to catch it before your capital does.
2 min read